Life on Earth is made of and made possible by an inconceivably intricate web of relationships among myriad and diverse species. Each species has been shaped by evolution and woven into an ornate ecological tapestry across eons that dwarf the totality of human history. Beyond the grasp of human intellectual powers, the complexity of the biosphere is perhaps best comprehended by its beauty – beauty visible both in its mossy, roaring, shimmering presence and in its abstract, geometric and mathematical elegance.
The global web of ecosystems is resilient and can withstand a certain amount of shock and abuse. Some extinction, some disturbance, won’t destabilize the whole. However, as more threads are broken, the fabric risks tearing apart. It took nature billions of years to weave this life-creating tapestry and human activity over the last 200 years is wearing it thin. What ecologists call the “Sixth Mass Extinction” is the definitive sign that holes are beginning to form in the tapestry of life. Humanity destroys its home at its own peril.
The Problem
- Practical: The greatest threat facing humanity is the ongoing species extinction crisis, referred to by scientists as the Sixth Mass Extinction.1 The extinction crisis is the unraveling of humanity’s biological life support system.
- Moral: The greatest moral imperative facing humanity is to end the extinction crisis – all human and non-human life hangs in the balance. The ongoing Sixth Mass Extinction is the moral equivalent of genocide against the natural world and civilizational self-destruction.
The Background
Extinction is normal. Species regularly go extinct as a consequence of competition, natural selection, and environmental change. Mass extinction is not normal. In a mass extinction event, species go extinct much faster than what is historically normal. There have been five other mass extinction events in geological history.2 Each has been caused by a cataclysmic disturbance to Earth’s systems – a giant meteor impact, a chain of volcanoes erupting for centuries, etc. The Sixth Mass Extinction is different. This time, the mass die off of species on Earth is being caused by the voluntary actions of a single species. This time mass extinction is a choice.
The Cause
The Sixth Mass Extinction is fundamentally an issue of carrying capacity. Humans require resources to survive, so each additional individual exacts a resource toll on the environment. Humans, like all other species, require habitats that supply water, food, physical space, shelter, and a variety of other goods (the human footprint is far larger than the human carbon footprint).3 Further, humans share a planet with countless other species that also need habitats and resources. Therefore, the human carrying capacity of the Earth must not be set at the absolute physical limits of the Earth itself, but at a point of balance which allows other species to survive and flourish. The ongoing Sixth Mass Extinction is incontrovertible proof we are already far out of balance.
The chief cause of the Sixth Mass Extinction is explosive, exponential human population growth that has far exceeded Earth’s human carrying capacity. The world population in the year 1800 was under one billion. Today it is eight billion.4 Simultaneously, technological advancements have enabled many humans to consume far more resources per capita. Indeed, to suggest technology is the solution to humanity’s environmental woes is to ignore the overwhelming historical trend of technological progress enabling additional resource consumption, not reducing it. Technology will not provide a magic solution to the extinction crisis. The only solution is for humans to make the choice to adopt an ethics of limits.
The Solution
The locus of action for solving complex, global problems is in and among nations. Every nation on Earth must choose to do its part to end the extinction crisis by gradually shrinking its population. Citizens of every nation have the right and the duty to collectively choose to adopt a national ethic of limits to population growth and implement both family planning and immigration policies to realize these ethical principles.5
America is home to more than 1,300 threatened or endangered animal species. That number has steadily increased for decades, despite billions of taxpayer dollars — and billions more in private spending by environmentalists — devoted toward conservation.
Karen Shragg
In all the perturbations of earth systems that mark the onset of the Anthropocene, human population growth is at the heart of the problem. All credible estimates of the earth’s human carrying capacity clearly show that we are already beyond long-term sustainability. Only through increased intentionality with regard to human population growth can we avoid catastrophic failure of the support system for human well-being as well as the well-being of the web of life in general.
Carnegie Museum of Natural History
The Science
Recent scientific literature on the impacts of overpopulation on biodiversity
Abegão, João. 2019. Where the Wild Things Were is Where Humans are Now: an Overview. Human Ecology 47: 669-679.
The requirements of an expanding human population are strongly linked to wildlife depletion and the increasing difficulties facing biodiversity conservation efforts.
Abell, Robin et al. 2011. Indicators for Assessing Threats to Freshwater Biodiversity from Humans and Human-Shaped Landscapes. In R.P. Cincotta and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.), Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity (Springer), pp. 103-124.
Areas with high human population numbers typically coincide with degraded aquatic ecosystems.
Ahmed, Sadia et al. 2014. Road networks predict human influence on Amazonian bird communities.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences 281: 10.1098/rspb.2014.1742.
Road building leads to significant deleterious effects on birds, in part through encouraging regional population growth.
Attenborough, David. 2011. Impact of population growth on the planet. Lecture to the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce, London.
More people lead to less wildlife.
Barnosky, Anthony et al. 2013. Scientific Consensus on Maintaining Humanity’s Life Support Systems in the 21st Century: Information for Policy Makers.
Global population growth is driving species extinctions and human over-appropriation of the biosphere; limiting future population growth is key to reversing these trends.
Beebee, Trevor. 2022. Impacts of Human Population on Wildlife: A British Perspective. Cambridge University Press.
The reasons usually given for wildlife loss in Britain are real but secondary to a single, primary cause: the attempt to accommodate more people.
Berger, Joel et al. 2020. Disassembled Food Webs and Messy Projections: Modern Ungulate Communities in the Face of Unabating Human Population Growth. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8: 128.
Human population growth has exterminated numerous ungulate and carnivore species and irrevocably changed ecological communities throughout the world.
Boitani, L. and J.D.C. Linnell. 2015. Bringing Large Mammals Back: Large Carnivores in Europe. In H. Pereira and L. Navarro (eds.), Rewilding European Landscapes (Springer International Publishing, Cham), pp. 67-84.
As rural populations have declined, carnivores have naturally recolonized many former agricultural areas in Europe.
Bradshaw, Corey and Enrico Di Minin. 2019. Socio-economic predictors of environmental performance among African nations. Scientific Reports 9: 9306.
Increasing population density is strongly correlated with greater environmental degradation in Africa, suggesting that reducing population growth is necessary to preserve African biodiversity going forward.
Bradshaw, Corey et al. 2021. Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future.Frontiers in Conservation Science 1: 615419.
Excessive human numbers and overconsumption are driving a sixth mass extinction of Earth’s biological species.
Brashares, Justin et al. 2002. Human demography and reserve size predict wildlife extinction in West Africa. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 268: 2473-2478.
Human population and reserve size accounted for 98% of the observed variation in extinction rates between wildlife reserves in West Africa.
Burgess, Neil et al. 2007. Correlations among species distributions, human density and human infrastructure across the high biodiversity tropical mountains of Africa. Biological Conservation 134: 164-177.
High rural population densities threaten biodiversity hotspots in Africa.
Cafaro, Philip and Eileen Crist (eds.). 2012. Life on the Brink: Environmentalists Confront Overpopulation. University of Georgia Press.
Population policies involve a choice about whether to share the earth with other species or whether to continue to crowd them off the landscape.
Cafaro, Philip and Frank Götmark.2019.The potential environmental impacts of EU immigration policy: future population numbers, greenhouse gas emissions and biodiversity preservation. Journal of Population and Sustainability 4, 71-101.
Population reductions have facilitated major ecological restoration projects in Europe and could help European nations meet their targets for increasing protected area acreage in the future.
Cafaro, Philip et al. 2022. Overpopulation is a major cause of biodiversity loss and smaller human populations are necessary to preserve what is left. Biological Conservation 272: 109646.
Population growth is a fundamental driver of biodiversity loss and population decrease facilitates ecological restoration efforts.
Cardillo, Marcel et al. 2004. Human population density and extinction risk in the world’s carnivores. PLOS Biology 2: 909-914.
Higher levels of exposure to human populations increase the extinction risk to carnivores.
Ceballos, Gerardo et al. 2015. Accelerated modern human-induced species losses: Entering the sixth mass extinction. Science Advances 1: e1400253.
Avoiding a sixth mass extinction will require rapid, greatly intensified efforts to reduce habitat loss, overexploitation, and climate change; all of which are related to human population size and growth.
Ceballos, Gerardo et al. 2017. Biological annihilation via the ongoing sixth mass extinction signaled by vertebrate population losses and declines. PNAS 114: E6089-E6096.
The ultimate drivers of rapid global biodiversity loss are human overpopulation and overconsumption.
Ceballos, Gerardo et al. 2020. Vertebrates on the brink as indicators of biological annihilation and the sixth mass extinction.PNAS 117: 13596-13604.
The acceleration of the extinction crisis is certain because of the still fast growth in human numbers and consumption rates.
Chapron, Guillaume et al. 2014. Recovery of large carnivores in Europe’s modern human-dominated landscapes. Science 346: 1517–1519.
As rural populations have declined, carnivores have naturally recolonized many former agricultural areas in Europe.
Cheetah Conservation Fund. 2018. The importance of human reproductive health and rights for cheetah conservation. Margaret Pyke Trust, London.
Limiting human population growth is key to cheetah conservation in Namibia, where more than 90% of cheetahs live outside protected areas.
Cincotta, R.P. and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.). 2011. Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity. Springer.
Human population density has a powerful negative influence on the viability of populations for the vast majority of other species.
Colsaet, Alice et al. 2018. What drives land take and urban land expansion? A systematic review. Land Use Policy 79: 339–349.
Population growth is positively correlated with wildlife habitat loss at both national and global levels.
Corlett, R.T. 2016. The Role of Rewilding in Landscape Design for Conservation. Current Landscape Ecology Reports 1: 127–33.
Rural population decreases have facilitated the creation of new protected areas.
Crist, Eileen. 2019. Abundant Earth: Toward an Ecological Civilization. University of Chicago Press.
Justice and prudence both counsel reducing human numbers to 1 or 2 billion and sharing Earth generously with other species.
Crist, Eileen et al. 2017. The interaction of human population, food production, and biodiversity protection. Science 356: 260–264.
Research suggests that the scale of human population and the current pace of its growth contribute substantially to the loss of biological diversity.
Crist, Eileen et al. 2021. Protecting Half the Planet and Transforming Human Systems Are Complementary Goals. Frontiers in Conservation Science 2: 761292.
To limit biodiversity losses, humanity must greatly expand protected areas, which will necessitate much smaller human populations.
Crist, Eileen et al. 2022. Scientists’ Warning on Population. Science of the Total Environment 845: 157166.
Reducing the human population is necessary to address the collapse of global biodiversity and ensure long-term human wellbeing.
Cunningham, Caitlin and Karen Beazley. 2018. Changes in Human Population Density and Protected Areas in Terrestrial Global Biodiversity Hotspots, 1995–2015. Land 7: 136.
Average human population densities in global biodiversity hotspots increased by 36% between 1995 and 2015, double the global average, threatening conservation goals.
Dasgupta, Partha. 2021. The Economics of Biodiversity: The Dasgupta Review. Abridged version. HM Treasury, London.
Lowering future human numbers can directly reduce demands on the natural world and reduce extinction rates.
Defries, Ruth et al. 2010. Deforestation driven by urban population growth and agricultural trade in the twenty-first century. Nature Geoscience 3: 178-182.
Urban population growth is a significant driver of tropical forest loss in Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
Deinet, S. et al. 2013. Wildlife comeback in Europe: The recovery of selected mammal and bird species: final report to Rewilding Europe. Zoological Society of London.
Between 1960 and 2010, a 28% decline in rural populations facilitated the recovery of many European mammal and bird species.
DeSilvey, C. and N. Bartolini. 2018. Where horses run free? Autonomy, temporality and rewilding in the Côa valley, Portugal.
Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 44: 94-109. Creation of new protected areas has been facilitated by rural population decreases.
Diaz, Sandra et al. 2019. Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change. Science 366: 1327.
The human impact on life on Earth has increased sharply since the 1970s, driven by the demands of a growing population with rising average per capita incomes.
Dinerstein, Eric et al. 2017. An Ecoregion-Based Approach to Protecting Half the Terrestrial Realm. BioScience 67: 534-545.
Current trends in rural population decrease facilitate the increased protected area acreages necessary to preserve global biodiversity.
Dinerstein, Eric et al. 2019. A Global Deal for Nature: guiding principles, milestones, and targets. Science Advances 5: p.eaaw2869.
The success of plans to boost food production while protecting biodiversity will depend on limiting human population growth.
D’Odorico, P. et al. 2018. The Global Food-Energy-Water Nexus. Reviews of Geophysics 56: 456–531.
Human pressure on global water resources is increasing at alarming rates in response to population growth and changes in diet, leading to biodiversity losses in many parts of the world.
Driscoll, D. et al., 2018. A biodiversity-crisis hierarchy to evaluate and refine conservation indicators. Nature: Ecology & Evolution 2: 775–781.
Human population size and resource consumption per capita are the fundamental drivers of biodiversity loss.
Dumont, E. 2012. Estimated impact of global population growth on future wilderness extent. Earth Systems Dynamics Discussions 3: 433–452.
Wilderness areas around the world are threatened by the environmental impacts of the growing global human population.
Engelman, Robert and David Johnson. 2019. Removing Barriers to Family Planning, Empowering Sustainable Environmental Conservation: A Background Paper and Call for Action.Margaret Pyke Trust, London.
Conservation organizations can and should build family planning into their efforts to preserve biodiversity.
Engelman, Robert et al. 2016. Family Planning and Environmental Sustainability: Assessing the Science. Worldwatch Institute, Washington, D.C.
Contraceptive availability benefits environmental sustainability, including biodiversity and forest protection.
Estes, Anna et al. 2012. Land-cover change and human population trends in the greater Serengeti ecosystem from 1984–2003. Biological Conservation 147: 255–263.
Agricultural conversion of natural habitats to agriculture was greatest in areas with the highest rates of human population growth.
Estrada, Alejandro et al. 2017. Impending extinction crisis of the world’s primates: Why primates matter. Science Advances 3: e1600946.
Human population growth is a major contributor to primate declines around the world, driving increased hunting, deforestation, habitat fragmentation, and other direct causes of primate loss.
Fentahun, Tesfahun and Temesgen Gashaw. 2014. Population Growth and Land Resources Degradation in Bantneka Watershed, Southern Ethiopia. Journal of Biology, Agriculture and Healthcare 4: 13–16.
There is a strong correlation between human population growth and deforestation and reductions in wildlife populations.
Figueroa, Fernanda. 2015. Socioeconomic context of land use and land cover change in Mexican biosphere reserves. Environmental Conservation 36: 180-191.
Higher human and cattle populations increased habitat loss in Mexican biosphere reserves.
Foreman, David and Laura Carroll. 2014. Man Swarm: How Overpopulation is Killing the Wild World. Live True Books.
Human overpopulation is the main driver of biodiversity loss and species extinction in the United States and globally.
Gagné, S. et al. 2016. The effect of human population size on the breeding bird diversity of urban regions. Biodiversity Conservation 25: 653–671.
Increasing human population size drives habitat loss, fragmentation and disturbance, and decreases both breeding bird species richness and abundance.
Ganivet, Elias. 2020. Growth in human population and consumption both need to be addressed to reach an ecologically sustainable future. Environment, Development and Sustainability 22: 4979–4998.
Limiting population growth and decreasing per capita consumption are both necessary to preserve global biodiversity.
Gorenflo, L.J. 2011. Human Demography and Conservation in the Apache Highlands Ecoregion, US-Mexico Borderlands. In: R.P. Cincotta and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.). Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity (Springer), pp. 153-178.
Beyond a human population density of 10 persons per km2, high biodiversity is unlikely in the Apache highlands region.
Gorenflo, L.J. et al. 2011. Exploring the Association Between People and Deforestation in Madagascar. In R.P. Cincotta and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.). Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity (Springer), pp. 197-221.
Human population size is positively correlated with deforestation and species extirpation in Madagascar, although certain activities greatly increase human impacts.
Guerbois, Chloe et al. 2013. Insights for Integrated Conservation from Attitudes of People toward Protected Areas Near Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe. Conservation Biology 27: 844-855.
Migration and rapid population growth into adjacent areas decreased local support for protecting biodiversity in an African national park.
Haberl, Helmut et al. 2014. Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production: Patterns, Trends, and Planetary Boundaries. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 39: 363-391.
Economic growth and population growth result in increasing human appropriation of net primary production, driving biodiversity loss.
Harcourt, A.H. and S.A. Parks. 2003. Threatened primates experience high human densities: Adding an index of threat to the IUCN Red List criteria. Biological Conservation 109: 137–149.
Higher human population densities increase the threat of extinction for primates.
Hughes, A. C. 2017. Understanding the drivers of Southeast Asian biodiversity loss. Ecosphere 8: e01624.
While urbanization often is claimed to take pressure off rural areas, it increases deforestation, pollution and the spread of invasive species, hastening biodiversity loss.
Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES). 2019. Summary for Policymakers. Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany.
Biodiversity loss is underpinned by demographic and economic growth, which have increased in recent decades.
Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2021. Co-sponsored Workshop on Biodiversity and Climate Change: Scientific Outcome.
Growth of human populations and their increasing wealth forecasts a sharp decline in global biodiversity in the future.
International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). 2020. Importance for the conservation of nature of removing barriers to rights-based voluntary family planning. Motion at IUCN World Conservation Congress.
Nations should include rights-based voluntary family planning in their national biological strategic action plans to limit the negative impacts of human population growth on biodiversity.
Keenleyside, C. and G. Tucker. 2010. Farmland Abandonment in the EU: An Assessment of Trends and Prospects. World Wildlife Fund and Institute for European Environmental Policy, London.
Europe’s rural population decline and its extensive abandonment of less productive farmland have helped restore many formerly rare biological species.
Kolankiewicz, Leon. 2012. Overpopulation versus biodiversity: how a plethora of people produces a paucity of wildlife. In Philip Cafaro and Eileen Crist (eds.), Life on the Brink: Environmentalists Confront Overpopulation (University of Georgia Press, Athens), pp. 75-89.
In both tropical and temperate regions, human population increase leads to decreases in native biodiversity.
Kolankiewicz, Leon et al. 2022. From Sea to Sprawling Sea: Quantifying the Loss of Open Space in America. NumbersUSA, Arlington, VA.
Areas in the United States with rapidly growing populations had higher rates of habitat loss than areas with more slowly growing populations.
Kraussman, Fridolin et al. 2013. Global human appropriation of net primary production doubled in the 20th century. PNAS 110: 10324-10329.
Population growth helped drive increased appropriation of global net primary production in the 20th century and will continue to do so during the 21st.
Krishnadas, M. et al. 2018. Parks protect forest cover in a tropical biodiversity hotspot, but high human population densities can limit success. Biological Conservation 223: 147–155.
In India’s Western Ghats, the habitat value of protected areas declined precipitously as local human population densities increased.
Laurance, William et al. 2014. Agricultural expansion and its impacts on tropical nature. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 29: 107-116.
Population growth in the tropics threatens to detonate an “agricultural bomb” that extinguishes numerous species.
Laurance, William et al. 2002. Predictors of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Biogeography 29: 737–748.
Highways and population growth played a critical role in Amazonian forest destruction in the last four decades of the twentieth century.
Lavides, Margarita et al. 2020. Patterns of Coral-Reef Finfish Species Disappearances Inferred from Fishers’ Knowledge in Global Epicentre of Marine Shorefish Diversity. PLoS ONE 11: e0155752.
High Filipino population growth is depleting fish stocks and putting huge pressure on coral reefs.
Leverington, Fiona et al. 2010. Management effectiveness evaluation in protected areas – a global study. Second edition. The University of Queensland, Brisbane.
Increased human population density reduces the effectiveness of protected areas in sustaining native biodiversity.
Lidicker, William. 2020. A Scientist’s Warning to humanity on human population growth. Global Ecology and Conservation 24: e01232.
Human-caused extinctions have reached an unprecedented rate, thanks in part to unprecedented human population growth.
Liu, Jianguo et al. 1999. Changes in human population structure: Implications for biodiversity conservation. Population and Environment 21: 45-58.
Rapid population growth in Wolong Nature Reserve led to habitat degradation and biodiversity loss.
Lopez-Carr, D. and D. Ervin. 2017. Population-health-environment (PHE) synergies? Evidence from USAID-sponsored programs in African and Asian core conservation areas. European Journal of Geography 8: 92–108.
Review of population-health-environment programs in eight developing countries found they achieved substantial improvements in maternal and child health and biodiversity conservation.
Lu, Florence and Richard Bilsborrow. 2011. A Cross-Cultural Analysis of Human Impacts on the Rainforest Environment in Ecuador. In R.P. Cincotta and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.), Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity (Springer), pp. 127-151.
In all cases, for all ethnicities, rapidly growing populations and sedentarization ensure that biodiversity loss and other environmental impacts continue to grow.
Marques, A. et al. 2019. Increasing impacts of land use on biodiversity and carbon sequestration driven by population and economic growth. Nature: Ecology & Evolution 3: 628–637.
Between 2000 and 2011, demographic and economic growth decreased global bird diversity, despite a reduction in land-use impacts per unit of GDP.
Matanle, Peter. 2017. Towards an Asia-Pacific Depopulation Dividend in the 21st Century: Regional Growth and Shrinkage in Japan and New Zealand. The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus 15: 5018.
Rural population decrease in the Asia-Pacific region is creating opportunities to preserve biodiversity and revive traditional cultural activities.
McKee, Jeffrey. 2003. Sparing Nature—The Conflict between Human Population Growth and Earth’s Biodiversity. Rutgers University Press.
Every day, there is a net gain of more than 200,000 people on the planet, leading to the extinction of countless plant and animal species.
McKee, Jeffrey. 2009. Contemporary Mass Extinction and the Human Population Imperative. Journal of Cosmology 2: 300–308.
The global pattern of biodiversity loss is clearly linked to the growth of humanity’s population’s size and density, and losses of plant and animal species will continue if this growth continues.
McKee, Jeffrey and Erica Chambers. 2011. Behavioral Mediators of the Human Population Effect on Global Biodiversity Losses. In R.P. Cincotta and L.J. Gorenflo (eds.), Human Population: Its Influences on Biological Diversity (Springer), pps. 47-59.
Human population density, agricultural land use, and species richness are the best combined predictors of threats to mammal and bird species.
McKee, Jeffrey et al. 2004. Forecasting Global Biodiversity Threats Associated with Human Population Growth. Biological Conservation 115: 161–164.
Multiple regression analysis reveals that two predictor variables, human population density and species richness, account for 88% of the variability in threatened bird and mammal species across 114 continental nations.
McKee, Jeffrey et al. 2013. Human Population Density and Growth Validated as Extinction Threats to Mammal and Bird Species. Human Ecology 41: 773–778.
Increased human population density increases the risk of extinction for birds and mammals.
McKinney, M. 2001. Effects of human population, area, and time on non-native plant and fish diversity in the United States. Biological Conservation 100: 243-252.
Higher human numbers increase the numbers of invasive plant and fish species, through both planned and inadvertent non-native species introductions.
Mora, Camilo. 2014. Revisiting the Environmental and Socioeconomic Effects of Population Growth: a Fundamental but Fading Issue in Modern Scientific, Public, and Political Circles. Ecology and Society 19: 38.
Although tackling overpopulation will be difficult, continued neglect of this issue will decrease chances for humanity to reverse rapid biodiversity loss.
Mora, Camilo and Peter Sale. 2011. Ongoing Global Biodiversity Loss and the Need to Move Beyond
Protected Areas: A Review of the Technical and Practical Shortcomings of Protected Areas on Land and Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 434: 251–66.
The only scenarios that end ongoing biodiversity loss require concerted efforts to reduce human population growth and consumption.
Morales-Hidalgo, David et al. 2015. Status and trends in global primary forest, protected areas, and areas designated for conservation of biodiversity from the Global Forest Resources Assessment. Forest Ecology and Management 352: 68–77.
A global assessment found a 1% increase in national population density and per capita GDP were associated with a 0.2% decrease in forest area.
Navarro, L. 2014. Rewilding abandoned landscapes in Europe: biodiversity impact and contribution to human well-being. Doctoral thesis, Department of Animal Biology, University of Lisbon.
Nations with decreasing populations have opportunities to expand rewilding efforts and transform marginal agricultural lands into more valuable national parks and protected areas.
Navarro, L. and H. Pereira. 2015. Rewilding abandoned landscapes in Europe.” In H. Pereira and L. Navarro (eds.), Rewilding European Landscapes (Springer International), pp. 3-23.
Decreasing human populations reduce hunting pressures on European natural areas.
Noss, Reed et al. 2012. Bolder Thinking for Conservation. Conservation Biology 26: 1-4.
Accepting continued population growth and economic growth ensures conservationists will make limited headway in stemming extinction.
Olden, Julian et al. 2006. Forecasting faunal and floral homogenization associated with human population geography in North America. Biological Conservation 27: 261-271.
Increased human population size leads to more homogenized natural communities, across all taxonomic groups.
Oueslati, Walid et al. 2015. Determinants of urban sprawl in European cities. Urban Studies 52: 1594-1614.
Increased population size leads to habitat loss in urban areas in Europe.
Pacheco, Luis et al. 2016. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/308312322_Conservation_as_the_new_paradigm_for_development Conservation as the new paradigm for development. In A. Aguirre and R. Sukumar (eds), Tropical Conservation: Perspectives on Local and Global Priorities (Oxford University Press), pp. 390–402.
Development planning should include judgements on how many people ecosystems can sustain without degrading ecosystem services and losing species.
Paradis, Emmanuel. 2018. Nonlinear relationship between biodiversity and human population density: evidence from Southeast Asia. Biodiversity and Conservation 27: 2699-2712.
Human population pressure on biodiversity increased between 1990 and 2000 throughout Southeast Asia.
Parks, S. and A. Harcourt. 2002. Reserve size, local human density, and mammalian extinctions in US protected areas. Conservation Biology 16: 800e808.
In the western United States, extirpation rates of large mammals within national parks increased with human population density outside park boundaries.
Pereira, H. and L. Navarro (eds.). 2015. Rewilding European landscapes. Springer International Publishing, Cham.
Biodiversity restoration projects in Europe often depend on population decrease and land abandonment to succeed.
Pereira, Henrique et al. Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050. Preprint.
A growing population and global economy have increased human demands for land and resources, causing habitat conversion and loss through a variety of proximate causes.
Perino, Andrea et al. 2019. Rewilding Complex Systems. Science 364: 351.
Evacuation of the entire local population from the Chernobyl Radiation and Ecological Biosphere Reserve has led to one of the most successful rewilding experiments in recent history.
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Large human populations and their continued growth are driving global biodiversity loss.
Prates, Luciano and S. Ivan Perez. 2021. Late Pleistocene South American megafaunal extinctions associated with rise of Fishtail points and human population. Nature Communications 12: 2175.
Human population increase and associated hunting pressure drove late Pleistocene extinctions in South America.
Pyšek, Petr et al. 2020. Scientists’ warning on invasive alien species. Biological Reviews 95: 1511–1534.
Rising human population size is driving biological invasions around the world, reducing overall global biodiversity.
Potapov, P.V. et al. 2012. Quantifying forest cover loss in Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2000-2010, with Landsat ETM+ data. Remote Sensing of Environment 122: 106–116.
In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, forest loss intensity was associated with areas of high population density, including within formally protected areas.
Qiu, C. et al. 2018. Human Pressures on Natural Reserves in Yunnan Province and Management Implications. Scientific Reports 8: 3260.
Reducing human population density and encouraging residents’ outmigration can help preserve biodiversity in Yunnan, China.
Radeloff, V. et al., 2015. Housing growth in and near United States protected areas limits their conservation value. PNAS 107: 940–945.
Housing growth poses the main threat to protected areas in the United States, directly linking population growth to biodiversity loss.
Raven, P.H. and D.L. Wagner. 2021. Agricultural intensification and climate change are rapidly decreasing insect biodiversity. PNAS 118: e2002548117.
To limit the mass extinction of invertebrates, a lower human population and sustainable consumption levels will be necessary.
Rees, William. 2023. The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 21: 1–19.
Increasing human numbers on a finite planet necessarily competitively displaces wild species. Between 1961 and 2016 global population growth accounted for about 80% of the increase in the total human ecological footprint above what would have accrued had populations remained constant while income/consumption and per capita ecological footprint increased.
Rewilding Charter Working Group. 2020. Global Charter for Rewilding the Earth. The Ecological Citizen 4 (Suppl A): 6–21.
Nations should enact laws and policies to lower human numbers in order to stem plummeting wildlife populations.
Rewilding Europe. 2021. Our rewilding areas. Nijmegen, Netherlands.
Major ecological restoration cites in Europe correspond closely to areas experiencing declining populations and reduced agricultural activity.
Ripple, William et al. 2015. Collapse of the world’s largest herbivores. Science Advances 1: e1400103.
Human population growth drives habitat loss and overhunting, decimating large herbivore populations throughout the world.
Ripple, William et al. 2017. World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice. BioScience 67: 1026–1028.
Rapid population growth is a primary driver of biodiversity loss and other ecological threats.
Robson, L. and F. Rakotozafy. 2015. The freedom to choose: integrating community-based reproductive health services with locally led marine conservation initiatives in southwest Madagascar. Madagascar Conservation & Development 10: 6-12.
Through integrating community-based reproductive health services and marine conservation initiatives, more than 800 unintended pregnancies were averted, and a community-managed marine protected area was created.
Rust, N. and L. Kehoe. 2017. A call for conservation scientists to empirically study the effects of human population policies on biodiversity loss. Journal of Population and Sustainability 1: 53-66.
High human population density and large size are linked with biodiversity loss, so conservation biologists should study the connections between them.
Sánchez-Bayoa, Francisco and Kris Wyckhuysb. 2019. Worldwide decline of the entomofauna: A review of its drivers. Biological Conservation 232: 8–27.
One-third of the world’s insect species are threatened with extinction due primarily to population-driven agricultural intensification.
Scharlemann, J. 2005. The level of threat to restricted-range bird species can be predicted from mapped data on land use and human population. Biological Conservation 123: 317–326.
Increasing rural populations lead to agricultural habitat conversion and loss of biodiversity.
Schnitzler, A. 2014. Towards a new European wilderness: embracing unmanaged forest growth and the decolonisation of nature. Landscape & Urban Planning 126: 74–80.
Accepting depopulation and the spontaneous rewilding of former agricultural lands can help preserve Europe’s biodiversity.
Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity. 2020. Global Biodiversity Outlook 5. Montreal.
Unsustainable population growth is helping drive rapid biodiversity loss.
Seto K.C. 2011. A Meta-Analysis of Global Urban Land Expansion. PLoS One 6: e23777.
A direct correlation exists between increased population densities and loss of species and natural areas to development.
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Population growth may undermine biodiversity protection under customary management institutions, while declining populations help preserve stable forest cover.
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Areas with growing human populations should be prioritized for protection efforts, since more people increase demand for land and resources and threaten natural habitats.
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Population growth undermines legal efforts to protect endangered species.
Smil, Vaclav. 2011. Harvesting the Biosphere: The human Impact. Population and Development Review 37: 613–636.
Wild vertebrate biomass is vanishingly small, having been largely replaced by human and domesticated animal biomass.
Stanford, C. 2012. Planet Without Apes. Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
Rapid population growth has played an important role in driving Africa’s commercial bushmeat trade and the extirpation of chimpanzees and gorillas from large areas.
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Overhunting, driven partly by rising populations, has led to “empty forest syndrome” throughout Vietnam.
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Increased human population densities within or near protected areas is an important cause of their being downgraded or downsized, leading to habitat loss and degradation.
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Increases in human population density increase plant species extinction at the local level.
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Increased human population density interferes with feeding, mating and migration of wild mammals.
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Unconstrained human demands, whether from overconsumption or overpopulation, threaten to overwhelm coral reef conservation and management efforts.
Wade, Alisa and David Theobald. 2010. Residential Development Encroachment on U.S. Protected Areas. Conservation Biology 24: 151e161.
Population growth-driven housing development is reducing biological connectivity around protected areas in the United States.
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Areas depopulated by war, nuclear meltdown and other anthropogenic debacles show how quickly wild nature returns when human beings leave.
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Higher population growth rates lead to increased habitat loss at the regional level in Europe.
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Population growth is an important driver of deforestation and biodiversity loss, particularly in tropical hotspots.
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Global biodiversity hotspots have rapidly growing human populations, boding ill for their ability to preserve biodiversity long-term.
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Population growth drives species extinctions in synergy with other factors in the “HIPPO” causal model of biodiversity loss.
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Population growth has driven biodiversity loss in the Anthropocene epoch and ending population growth will be necessary to share Earth generously with other species.
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Rates of deforestation are highest around protected areas where human population growth is greatest, linking population growth to habitat loss and fragmentation.
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Increased population density has been a major cause of biodiversity loss in numerous countries on all inhabited continents.
World Wildlife Fund. 2020. Bringing life to the lower Danube – a real success story for WWF in Ukraine.
Dike removal, species reintroductions and other ecological restoration activities have been facilitated by population decline and agricultural abandonment.
World Wildlife Fund. 2022. Living Planet Report 2022.
Global vertebrate populations have declined 69% since 1970, driven by increased human numbers and economic activity, particularly the expansion of agriculture.
Wright, Joseph and Helene Muller-Landau. 2006. The Future of Tropical Forest Species. Biotropica 38: 287–301.
Remaining forest cover is closely correlated with human population density among countries in both the tropics and the temperate zone.
Yi, Yoonjung and Amaël Borzée. 2021. Human population and efficient conservation: Are humans playing ostriches and rabbits? Journal of Asia-Pacific Biodiversity 14: 144e145.
Current societies need to reject outmoded taboos against discussing overpopulation, which is the main cause of biodiversity loss and other global environmental problems.
Young, Hillary et al. 2016. Patterns, Causes, and Consequences of Anthropocene Defaunation. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 47: 333–358.
Stabilizing the human population and decreasing overconsumption are essential to halt current rapid decreases in animal populations.
Other Resources
- Species at Risk in Pennsylvania. Western Pennsylvania Conservancy.
- U.S. Map of Endangered Biodiversity. The New York Times.
- U.S. Federal Endangered and Threatened Species by Calendar Year. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service.
- We’re Living Through One of the Most Explosive Extinction Episodes Ever. The New York Times.
- Extinction crisis ‘poses existential threat to civilization’. BBC.
- How Animals Perceive the World. The Atlantic.
- Jane Goodall and David Attenborough: overpopulation must be addressed. Mongabay.
Recommended Viewing
References
- Ceballos, Gerardo et al. 2015. Accelerated modern human-induced species lossed: Entering the sixth mass extinction. Science Advances 1, 5.
- Begum, Tammana, 2021. What is mass extinction and are we facing a sixth one?. Natural History Museum, UK.
- World Wildlife Fund. 2022. The Human Footprint.
- Our World In data. 2022. World population from 10,000 BCE to today.
- Pew Research Center. 2015. Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to U.S., Driving Population Growth and Change Through 2065.